Capital Reserve Strategies for Residential Construction Projects through Gold-Based Fund Allocation
(Case Study of Housing Project in Pekanbaru City)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55826/jtmit.v5i1.1682Keywords:
Long-term financing, unit price analysis (AHSP), gold hedging strategy, construction cost, housing, reserve fund strategyAbstract
Housing development project financing generally still relies on interest-based banking mechanisms, which consequently increase the burden of capital costs. On the other hand, construction business actors are required to manage their reserve funds independently to prevent the erosion of fund value due to inflation and rising construction costs. This study aims to analyze the effectiveness of a capital reserve strategy through allocating funds into gold as a value preservation instrument in residential housing development. The research employs a quantitative descriptive approach and comparative analysis using secondary data, including the 2016 Unit Price Analysis (AHSP) and the latest 2024 AHSP, as well as historical gold price data for the period 2016–2024. The case study focuses on the construction of type 36, 45, 56, and 70 houses in Pekanbaru City. The results indicate that the increase in construction costs based on the updated AHSP is relatively conservative and does not impose excessive capital burdens. Furthermore, converting construction costs into gold-equivalent units reveals a potential surplus of up to 55.96%. These findings suggest that allocating funds to gold can serve as an effective long-term financing strategy for contractors and investors in the housing sector, particularly in preserving fund value and improving project financing efficiency.
References
[1] E. R. Yescombe, Public-Private Partnerships for Infrastructure: Principles of Policy and Finance, 2nd ed. Butterworth-Heinemann, 2018.
[2] H. Kerzner, Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling, 12th ed. Wiley, 2019.
[3] B. Flyvbjerg, “What You Should Know about Megaprojects and Why: An Overview,” Proj. Manag. J., vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 6–19, 2014, doi: 10.1002/pmj.21409.
[4] X. Zhao, B.-G. Hwang, and S. P. Low, “Investigating Enterprise Risk Management Maturity in Construction Firms,” J. Constr. Eng. Manag., vol. 140, no. 8, p. 4014047, 2014, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000862.
[5] B.-G. Hwang, X. Zhao, and S.-Y. Ng, “Identifying the Critical Factors Affecting Cost Performance of Construction Projects,” J. Constr. Eng. Manag., vol. 145, no. 3, p. 4019006, 2019, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001622.
[6] A. Ashworth and S. Perera, Cost Studies of Buildings, 6th ed. Routledge, 2018.
[7] N. J. Smith, Managing Risk in Construction Projects, 3rd ed. Wiley-Blackwell, 2014.
[8] P. E. D. Love, D. J. Edwards, and Z. Irani, “Moving Beyond Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Project Management,” IEEE Trans. Eng. Manag., vol. 59, no. 4, pp. 560–571, 2013, doi: 10.1109/TEM.2011.2178299.
[9] S. M. El-Sayegh, S. Manjikian, A. Ibrahim, A. Abouelyousr, and R. Jabbour, “Risk Identification and Assessment in Construction Projects,” J. Manag. Eng., vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 223–233, 2008, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0742-597X(2008)24:4(223).
[10] Ministry of Public Works and Housing of the Republic of Indonesia, “Regulation No. 28/PRT/M/2016 on Unit Price Analysis (AHSP),” 2016.
[11] Ministry of Public Works and Housing of the Republic of Indonesia, “Updated Unit Price Analysis (AHSP) Guidelines 2024,” 2024.
[12] P. P. Shrestha, L. A. Burns, and D. R. Shields, “Magnitude of Construction Cost and Schedule Overruns in Public Work Projects,” J. Constr. Eng. Manag., vol. 139, no. 7, pp. 853–862, 2013, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000651.
[13] A. L. Olanrewaju and A. R. Abdul-Aziz, “Building Maintenance Processes and Practices,” SpringerBriefs Appl. Sci. Technol., 2015.
[14] D. G. Baur and B. M. Lucey, “Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold,” Financ. Rev., vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 217–229, 2010, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00244.x.
[15] J. Beckmann, T. Berger, and R. Czudaj, “Does Gold Act as a Hedge or a Safe Haven for Stocks?,” J. Bank. & Financ., vol. 54, pp. 25–36, 2015, doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.12.012.
[16] D. Hillier, P. Draper, and R. Faff, “Do Precious Metals Shine? An Investment Perspective,” Financ. Anal. J., vol. 62, no. 2, pp. 98–106, 2006, doi: 10.2469/faj.v62.n2.4085.
[17] A. C. Worthington and M. Pahlavani, “Gold Investment as an Inflationary Hedge,” J. Bus. Econ. Manag., vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 231–240, 2007, doi: 10.3846/1611-1699.2007.8.231-240.
[18] D. Ghosh, E. J. Levin, P. Macmillan, and R. E. Wright, “Gold as an Inflation Hedge?,” Stud. Econ. Financ., vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 1–25, 2004, doi: 10.1108/eb028784.
[19] D. Bredin, T. Conlon, and V. Poti, “Does Gold Glitter in the Long-Run? Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven across Time and Investment Horizon,” Int. Rev. Financ. Anal., vol. 41, pp. 158–173, 2015, doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.010.
[20] J. F. Jaffe, “Gold and Portfolio Diversification,” Financ. Anal. J., vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 53–59, 1989, doi: 10.2469/faj.v45.n2.53.
[21] D. G. Baur and T. K. McDermott, “Is Gold a Safe Haven? International Evidence,” J. Bank. & Financ., vol. 34, no. 8, pp. 1886–1898, 2010, doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.008.
[22] D. Geltner, N. G. Miller, J. Clayton, and P. Eichholtz, Commercial Real Estate Analysis and Investments, 3rd ed. Cengage Learning, 2014.
[23] W. B. Brueggeman and J. D. Fisher, Real Estate Finance and Investments, 15th ed. McGraw-Hill Education, 2015.
[24] P. P. Shrestha, L. A. Burns, and D. R. Shields, “Magnitude of Construction Cost and Schedule Overruns,” J. Constr. Eng. Manag., vol. 139, no. 7, pp. 853–862, 2013, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000651.
[25] D. G. Baur and K. J. Glover, “Gold as a Safe Haven Asset: Evidence from the U.S. and Europe,” J. Bank. & Financ., vol. 40, pp. 109–120, 2015, doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.009.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Muhammad Rilly Aka Yogi, Rian Trikomara Irana

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.













